PPP South Carolina Poll: Interesting Possibilities

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Wednesday July 16, 2008 · 9:00 AM PDT

2008/07/16 · 09:00

I'm sure this has been diaried already but PPP came out with a poll yesterday for South Carolina showing McCain leading Obama by 6 points: 45 to 39.

http://www.publicpolicypolling.com/...

That, however, is not the interesting part as the cross-tabs reveal something much more interesting.

True Independent

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Thursday July 10, 2008 · 7:17 AM PDT

2008/07/10 · 07:17

This is the second part in my continuing series collecting together the lastest voter registration numbers in various key states for this fall's coming Presidential election. I gained all the information listed below from government databases available for the public. As you will notice when reviewing the numbers, some states do not provide breakdown of voter registration by party. Some do, however, breakdown registration by race. Given the wide gap in support (as exhibited by polls) of support for Senator Obama by African-Americans, I have used this measure as a proxy for new Democratic party registration in those states that do not give partisan breakdown. Some states, however, do not even give this type of breakdown, leaving me to simply report the raw numbers without any indication who these newly registered voters are (Dems, Reps., Independents, etc.,). Even more problematic some states (Ohio being the most glaring example) do not even give out voter registration numbers that are more current than the 2006 mid-term elections. With that said, here are the numbers:

True Independent

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Wednesday July 02, 2008 · 9:09 PM PDT

2008/07/02 · 21:09

Remember earlier when kos said that Obama's initial ad buy was in artillery terms a "spot" round and would be followed up by him "firing for effect" (meaning more ad buys) in those states where reports came back showing whether the initial "spot" round was having an effect. Looks like the McCain camp has beaten Obama to it and has admitted that Obama's VA ad buy is having an effect. How do I know: McCain is going up on the air in VA!

True Independent

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Tuesday June 24, 2008 · 9:04 AM PDT

2008/06/24 · 09:04

I've gotten a lot of grief lately for my prediction back in May that when Obama released his May fundraising totals they would only come in a little over $20 million. My prediction was based on looking at Obama's fundraising totals for the months of February, March, and April and noticing a disturbing trend of him raising approximately $10 million less each month. Applying that trend forward I came up with my May prediction. Having said all that is there a new trend developing?

True Independent

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Friday June 20, 2008 · 12:49 PM PDT

2008/06/20 · 12:49

Dispite the misleading headline in US News and World Report, they released a national poll today that should make Obama supporters very pleased. More after the jump.

True Independent

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Wednesday June 11, 2008 · 11:02 PM PDT

2008/06/11 · 23:02

Rasmussen released a poll this evening for Georgia showing only a slight uptick in Obama's numbers.

True Independent

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Monday June 09, 2008 · 11:05 PM PDT

2008/06/09 · 23:05

As you may have read in the New York Times yesterday Senator Obama's campaign is making an effort to run essentially a 26-state strategy of "battleground states" for the general election. I use the term battleground not in the sense that there are 26 toss up states, but counting all the states that lean to one candidate or the other plus the ones where things right now are neck and neck there are approximately 26 states in play this election cycle (at least at this point in the general election, things do whittle themselves down as the campaign progresses). One of the key elements to moving these states into the blue column this year will be voter registration drives. More after the jump.

True Independent

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Sunday June 01, 2008 · 1:38 AM PDT

2008/06/01 · 01:38

Superdelegate Yvonne Gates endorsed Senator Obama today (well okay during the wee hours of Sunday, June 1, 2008).

Poll

1278 votes Show Results

How many supers will come out and endorse a candidate today?

1278 votes Vote Now!

How many supers will come out and endorse a candidate today?

1-5

699 votes

5-10

330 votes

15-20

82 votes

Who knows this contest has been going on too long!

167 votes

United Mine Workers endorse Obama

True Independent

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Wednesday May 21, 2008 · 9:28 AM PDT

2008/05/21 · 09:28

Just a quick diary, but today it was announced that the United Mine Workers have endorsed Senator Obama. More after the jump.

True Independent

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Thursday May 15, 2008 · 11:26 PM PDT

2008/05/15 · 23:26

Looks like one of McSame's campaign staffers was also working for an anti-Obama 527. The staffer has been asked to resign his post, but the fact that the McSame campaign links with anti-Obama 527s is so express and explicit certainly calls into question McSame's sincerity in running a "clean and substantive campaign" by not resorting to "negative" attacks. His campaign staff may be filled to the rafters with people who are moonlighting (I'm being charitable, as I suspect it is done with a nod and wink from the campaign itself) for 527s. It also calls into question any future statement from the campaign that it does not have control over a 527 ad that may come up in the future.

http://www.politico.com/...

True Independent

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Thursday May 15, 2008 · 12:23 AM PDT

2008/05/15 · 00:23

There has been a lot of talk, most notably from Clinton supporters, that the DNC Rules Committee meeting on May 31st will be crucial in deciding whose the nominee. But according to my calculations the question of who the nominee is may be a moot point by then. More after the jump.

Poll

109 votes Show Results

Will Sen. Obama reach 2025 on or before May 31st?

109 votes Vote Now!

Will Sen. Obama reach 2025 on or before May 31st?

No, he'll come 10 or less delegates short

9 votes

No, he'll come 11 to 20 delegates short

9 votes

No, he'll come 21 to 40 delegates short

6 votes

Yes, but by a whisker (+1 to 10 delegates)

47 votes

Yes, by a large margin as there will be a landslide of supers (+ 11 or more)

38 votes

Clinton loses a pledged delegate from Maryland

True Independent

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Monday May 12, 2008 · 11:29 PM PDT

2008/05/12 · 23:29

The Washington Post is reporting tonight that a Maryland pledged delegate, Jack Johnson, has switched from being a pledged delegate for Sen Clinton to one supporting Sen Obama. I'm sure this will be intersting news for the morning news cycle.

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PPP South Carolina Poll: Interesting Possibilities

Voter Registration Numbers, July 2008 Update

Obama: Fire for Effect in VA!! McCain going up on the air in VA

Has Obama raised 10 million in 5 days?

National Poll: Obama 50 McCain 44

Georgia still bright red

Voter Registration in Key States: Baseline Numbers

Superdelegate Yvonne Gates endorses Obama

United Mine Workers endorse Obama

McCain Campaign with its hands caught in 527 cookie jar

2025 before May 31st?

Clinton loses a pledged delegate from Maryland